Special Webinar - August 2022

US politics and policy: to the midterms and beyond

August 30, 2022 | 4pm - 5pm UK (11am - 12pm ET)

The US economy entered a recession in the second quarter of 2022 and inflation rose above 9% in the middle of the year. However, the labour market has stayed firm, with wages rising and the unemployment rate close to a 50-year low. This provides a mixed economic context for campaigning ahead of the November midterm elections, in which President Joe Biden’s Democratic Party faces an uphill battle to protect its narrow majorities in the Senate and House of Representatives. The governing party tends to lose ground in midterm elections; Biden’s difficulties in passing legislation since coming to office, partly because of intra-party divisions, plus rampant inflation do not augur well for his chances of beating the trend.

In this webinar, brought to you by Oxford Analytica and FrontierView, we will examine recent economic trends and short-term forecasts for inflation, employment and wages as the context in which the election is likely to take place. We will identify some of the regional and sectoral outliers that could have a bearing on the election. From there we will consider polling trends and other data to identify where the elections are likely to be won and lost. Finally, we will consider what new majorities in the House and Senate could mean for policymaking and economic management in 2023.

A discussion between:

  • Elizabeth Rust, Senior Analyst, FrontierView
  • Giles Alston, Senior Analyst, Oxford Analytica
  • Megan Milloy, member of the Oxford Analytica expert network

Chair: Dr Nick Redman, Director of Analysis, Oxford Analytica

Please join us on August 30, to hear your questions answered by our expert panel.

Registering for this webinar

If you're an Oxford Analytica client, please contact the Client Success team for your invitation.

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Who should attend?

This deep dive is a closed webinar only for Oxford Analytica and FrontierView clients. It will benefit those who are in foreign and defence ministries, intelligence agencies, as well as senior executives and those involved in government affairs, legal services and finance, public policy. Not a client? Find out more about the service and how we can help you navigate complex markets.

Background briefings

Each session is supported by a background briefing which can be found within our flagship publication, the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief.