The prediction market has a history of inaccurate forecasts and is saturated with models claiming to help clients. In this world of false promises, how can organisations find a trustworthy method of election forecasting?
The challenge for clients is that an election can generate fundamental changes in the political, business, and investment environment, which may place their existing operations at risk or reduce the attractiveness of further investment in that country. Conversely, a more favourable election outcome can lead to an improved business and investment environment, generating opportunities for those who are quicker off the mark than their competitors.
Clients can leverage our proprietary Election Forecasting model to predict outcomes early.
Our rigorous model incorporates the most relevant factors driving voters’ decisions, such as economic fundamentals, demographics, and cultural influences. Our model is built on comprehensive analysis of historical data around elections in the country, and identifies those factors that have the strongest impacts on election outcomes.
What is Election Forecasting?
Election Forecasting, complemented by expert country analysis, provides insights that go beyond what polling data alone can offer.
By using both quantitative and qualitative analysis, we can predict the most likely outcome of the election and flag key electoral developments for up to six months pre-election. Our model is updated throughout the campaign as new, relevant data comes in.
What you get
Engagements typically consist of weekly and/or monthly monitoring reports that profile the main candidates, identify the key issues in electoral races, and highlight upcoming events that may impact the campaign.
Our selection forecasting service helps clients gain an advantage over competitors by becoming informed enough to move early 𑁋 mitigating risk or seizing opportunities as the political changes unfold.
Benefits of Election Forecasting
When we model and monitor potential election outcomes, clients gain insights into the business, investment, and geopolitical implications of a given result.
We also work with clients to formulate strategies that help them prepare for changes after an election or other political events and anticipate the ways in which it may shape the broader economic and social structure of the country.
Stay one step ahead of competitors and keep your finger on the electoral pulse in your country of interest.
Ready to learn more?
Find out how to use election forecasting to your advantage.