Tracking the Grey Swans

Many of those charged with making decisions in both the public and private sector find their attention absorbed by immediate crises and problems with short and hurried timeframes. Aware of new problems gathering at the edge of their peripheral vision, but with bandwidth fully absorbed, there is little scope to consider the category of low probability, high impact events. Yet some of these will have the potential to require a response at some point, and no decision-maker can afford to be surprised by them.

Among Oxford Analytica’s tools for tracking a changing world is the Global Risk Monitor (GRM). Powered by the analysis in the Daily Brief, the GRM considers a series of risks that lie just over the horizon but threaten disruption if the probability of their arrival increases.

In this webinar, our panel of experts will look at some of the key risks covered by the GRM, including:

• The possibility of conflict between Algeria and Morocco
• Reasons to remain concerned about an escalation of tensions between India and Pakistan
• Prospects of a clash between Russia and a NATO member
• The developing potential of the South China Sea as a locus for a multipower crisis

This is a public webinar open to those navigating complex markets and assessing risk in the year ahead and those who are in foreign and defence ministries, intelligence agencies, as well as senior executives and those involved in government affairs, legal services and finance, public policy.

Each session is supported by a background briefing curated by our team of expert analysts who produce our flagship publication, the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief. These in-depth briefings are circulated to attendees in advance of each call and are available as written articles published in the Daily Brief.