Oxford Analytica Prospects 2026: Global political change — elections, coups, and popular protest movements
Global political change and fragmentation is being driven by a complex set of dynamics — including ideological polarization, increasing frustration among electorates at the perceived failure of governments to deliver, signs of a growing generational disconnect between voters and entrenched political elites, the rise of populist and protest movements and, in some cases, evidence of heightened coup risks. With a focus on Europe, Africa and the Middle East and North Africa, this webinar will assess the forces likely to shape the political landscape in 2026.
Drawing on the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief series of Prospects pieces looking ahead to 2026, this webinar will examine the likely content and form of political change in key regions:
- How will incumbent Eastern European governments facing tough electoral tests next year fare, and what would be the consequences for the EU of a possible change in Hungary’s government?
- With right-wing parties continuing to make advances in Western Europe from Spain to Norway, how will they influence the EU’s policy agenda?
- Does this year’s overthrow by popular uprising of Madagascar’s government have wider significance for the direction of Africa’s politics, and what is the level of coup risk in a countries such as Nigeria and Mali?
- Has Morocco’s protest movement, which identified itself with other Generation Z-led political campaigns globally, now peaked or could it reassert itself?
