September 30, 2022
We began warning of rising tensions in the east of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) in 2018 and argued that growing instability in the region could lead to a wider proxy war.
By early 2022, this risk had become reality: DRC claimed Rwanda was backing M23 rebels, and Rwanda accused DRC of arming Rwandan rebels. A regional security crisis is escalating.
Rivalries in the current crisis recall those of DRC’s civil wars of the late 1990s-early 2000s, sometimes called ‘Africa’s world wars’, in which millions of people were killed. As security deteriorates rapidly in eastern DRC, the potential for much greater violence is high. This could have serious impacts on regional geopolitics and on the global metals and minerals markets of which the DRC is a major supplier.
The Oxford Analytica Daily Brief delivers timely, impartial and actionable analysis of emerging trends and developments. Publishing every business day, we analyse the most important topics in all areas of the global political economy. On DRC alone, our clients received 80 in-depth analysis and 233 quick response updates between January 2018 and September 2022.
Through daily dissection and analysis of developments in global politics, macroeconomics and the political economy, the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief offers qualitative predictions of the impact of events ‘just over the horizon’.
We inform our clients’ policy-making and decision-making processes by providing strategic insight into the immediate and longer-term implications of political, economic and regulatory developments around the world.
Our rigorous methodologies mean we have an excellent track record in predicting the course of key macroeconomic and geopolitical trends, and providing to clients the insight they need to prepare for contingencies.
The Daily Brief: Timely, impartial and actionable analysis of trends and developments in the global political economy