Through daily dissection and analysis of developments in global politics, macroeconomics and the political economy, the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief offers forward-looking insights into the impacts of events "just over the horizon".
We inform our clients' decision-making and policy-making processes by giving them strategic insight into the immediate and longer-term implications of political and economic developments around the world.
We publish in-depth analysis and quick-reaction updates every business day, so our clients can use our assessments to plan for the most likely scenarios and position themselves and their investments to anticipate risks and make the most of potential opportunities.
Our rigorous methodologies mean we have an excellent track record in anticipating the course of key macroeconomic and geopolitical trends, even when analysis has contradicted the media consensus at the time.
September 30, 2022
We began warning of rising tensions in the east of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) in 2018 and argued that growing instability in the region could lead to a wider proxy war. By early 2022, this risk had become reality: DRC claimed Rwanda was backing M23 rebels, and Rwanda accused DRC of arming Rwandan rebels. A regional security crisis is escalating.
July 20, 2022
Inflation is approaching 10% in the US, United Kingdom and the euro-area, squeezing disposable incomes and dampening spending. Most central banks are raising rates aggressively but governments are under increasing pressure to increase spending.
April 27, 2022
International promotion of Juan Guaido as Venezuela’s rightful president has failed to achieve its intended aim. Opposition groups designated Guaido as ‘interim president’ in January 2019 following the re-election of President Nicolas Maduro in discredited polls.
February 24, 2022
Rule of law, autonomous institutions and media freedom -- unique in China -- long underpinned Hong Kong's status as an international financial centre. Beijing's intervention in Hong Kong's political autonomy has dismantled the political opposition, muzzled civil society and silenced dissent.
December 12, 2021
By the time Volodymyr Zelensky was elected Ukrainian president in April 2019, we were already examining his promises to break with the past. He soon began exploring fresh routes to ending conflict in the east by engaging with Moscow. He made some initial progress but success was limited by irreconcilable differences with Russia on next steps and resistance at home from nationalists opposed to reckless concessions. We tracked this process as it took one step forward, one back.
November 18, 2021
We began warning of Lebanon’s economic vulnerability and the rising risks to the banking sector as early as 2017, highlighting the unsustainability of the debt-based fiscal model in October 2018. Exactly one year later, popular protests launched the spiralling economic crisis that has left the country at rock-bottom, as we forecast each development in turn.
October 19, 2021
On April 3, 2020 we advised our clients to implement robust cybersecurity strategies, particularly in critical infrastructure sectors such as healthcare. 13 months later, major cyberattacks hit Ireland's health service, the Belgian government and a US energy firm.
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