Lifting Europe's lockdown

How far, how fast, how permanent?

An Oxford Analytica Conference Call

May 20, 2020, 15.00 UK / 10:00 EDT

As the number of new daily cases of COVID-19 in Europe falls, some governments are beginning to ease restrictions and others are planning to do so. Yet the economic and fiscal imperatives of getting back to work sit uneasily with the need to ensure that, with no vaccine or reliable cure in sight, COVID-19 does not flare once again and overwhelm health systems.

As governments will discover, locking down is easier than opening up. Social distancing will be essential for months to come, and how businesses can operate in the face of this and other constraints, as well as the prospect of much weaker consumer demand, is an open question.

The experience of the first-movers will be watched closely; and nobody knows whether exit strategies can survive contact with reality. The lockdowns took relations between government and citizens in Europe into new territory; the first tentative steps towards a ‘new normal’ will potentially be more fraught.

Our open client call on May 20, chaired by Director of Analysis Nick Redman, will feature a panel drawn from our expert contributor network to answer your questions, including:

  • What explains differences in case and death rates across Europe thus far?
  • What strategies have proven most effective in checking the spread of COVID-19?
  • Among the larger states, which ones seem best prepared to balance a resumption of economic activity with measures to monitor and control the spread of the virus?
  • What are the early lessons from the efforts of the first-movers in lifting the lockdown?
  • Are we likely to see convergence among states over the sequencing of easing measures, or are there likely to be markedly different approaches?
  • Which governments are in synch with their publics? And which ones are not?
  • What might throw easing measures into reverse?
  • And is there a role for the EU, which thus far has taken a back seat?

Panellists

Dr Joe Larvin, Academic Clinician, National Institute for Health Research 

Dr David Hine, Professor in European Politics, Oxford University

Dr Veronica Anghel, Fullbright Fellow at Stanford University

Join Oxford Analytica’s experts for this discussion and share your questions and perspectives in our client conference call on Wednesday May 20, 15:00 UK, 10.00 EDT.