Turning points and Trumpism: the 2018 US midterm elections

Tuesday, November 13, 15:00 UK / 10:00 EDT

If the United States is the epitome of representative government, its 2018 midterm elections on November 6 has left it with a legislature that is truly representative of the country: evenly split, deeply divided and bitterly partisan.

Both parties could claim victory – the Democrats by retaking control of the House and the Republicans by increasing their majority in the Senate – but both were also rebuffed. The Democrats hoped-for ‘Blue wave’ was more a ripple, and the Republicans lost their monopoly on all three branches of government.

This sets up two years of legislative gridlock and the opportunity for the Democrats to intensify their efforts to investigate the conduct and character of President Donald Trump in the runup to his re-election campaign in 2020 – a promise that the president has already fired back at by threatening to use the Republicans’ increased Senate majority to investigate top Democrats.

In this febrile domestic atmosphere, the president may be tempted to put more of his energies into the United States relations with the rest of the world, especially as clear and coherent ‘America First’ policies are now emerging on China, Iran, North Korea and Russia.

On November 13, Oxford Analytica will hold a client conference call to discuss the outcomes and outlook of the 2018 midterm elections. Questions to be covered will include:

  • These midterms have been widely interpreted as a ‘referendum on Trump’ -- how did he do?
  • Is the Democrat Party facing imminent internal battles that could impede its ability to win in 2020 and beyond?
  • What next for “America First” policymaking and Trump’s vision of US domestic and world order?
  • What legislation, regulation and de-regulation are likely to follow the midterms, and what are their prospects for success?
  • Are US political, social and economic divisions as real as they seem? Are they unresolvable, merely manageable or are they perhaps resolvable?

Join Oxford Analytica’s experts to learn our other findings, and to put your questions to them in our client conference call on Tuesday, November 13, 15:00 UK, 10.00 EDT.