Deep Dive Webinar - June
Iran's Presidential Election
June 16, 2021 | 3pm - 4pm UK (10am - 11am EDT)
On June 18, Iranians go to the polls to elect a new president. Conservative factions dominate parliament in the wake of last year’s legislative election and it is widely expected that the presidential election could complete the ouster of reformists from positions of power. However, Iranian elections routinely throw up surprises.
The next president could be a figure of considerable influence, particularly if, during his term, the long-serving supreme leader dies. More immediately, he and his team will play a key role in Iran’s ongoing negotiations with the United States for a co-ordinated return to the 2015 nuclear agreement -- including a comprehensive lifting of sanctions. This raises further questions around Tehran’s Middle East regional engagement and military intervention.
Iran’s economy and society have suffered under the combined effects of US economic and financial sanctions, low oil prices, global economic disruption related to COVID-19 and the domestic impact of successive heavy coronavirus waves. The prospect of sanctions-lifting is key to recovery, but the new government’s ideology will also have an important impact on potential international re-engagement.
By attending this webinar, you will be able to answer these questions:
- What are the chances of an Ahmadinejad-style populist conservative again taking over, who are the key rivals, and do the moderates still retain any leverage?
- Will a revived nuclear deal lead to Iran’s global reintegration, could there be follow-on talks, and what would that mean for proxy militias across the region?
- Is the country likely to reopen once again to Western business, what are the key political and economic risks, and how does that intersect with China’s growing role?
Registering for this webinar
Who should attend?
This deep dive is a closed webinar only for Oxford Analytica clients. It will benefit those who are in foreign and defence ministries, intelligence agencies, as well as senior executives and those involved in government affairs, legal services and finance, public policy. Not a client? Find out more about the service and how we can help you navigate complex markets.
Each session is supported by a background briefing curated by our team of expert analysts who produce our flagship publication, the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief. These in-depth briefings are circulated to attendees in advance of each call and are available as written articles published in the Daily Brief.