Deep Dive Webinar - January

Middle East North Africa and Asia in 2021

January 20,  2021, 2:30 - 3:30pm / 3:45 - 4:45pm  UK (9:30 - 10:30 / 10:45 - 11:45 EST)

Building on from our Prospects Series in December 2020, we are holding two deep dive discussions in January for our clients only.

Oxford Analytica’s Senior Analysts will be joined by a specialist from our global expert network to debate and discuss the risks and opportunities in Middle East & North Africa and Asia.

As ever with our calls, there will be scope for you, our clients, to pose questions and to share your view on the opportunities and risks that the next twelve months might offer.

Session details

As the region moves into a post-pandemic phase under a US Biden administration, new opportunities will arise – together with significant risks, as the full economic and social impact of recent events begins to be felt.

Find out where protests might shake governments, how the Iran nuclear issue is set to develop, and which countries are looking like a bad credit risk.

We will dive into the outlook for upcoming elections and possible economic reforms, as well as changing alliances and the new military and humanitarian dynamics in war zones from Libya to Syria and Yemen.

By attending this webinar, you will be able to answer these questions:

  • Will Washington and Tehran return to compliance with the 2015 nuclear deal?
  • After Iranian presidential elections, will the hardliners move in?
  • Will the Qatar rapprochement lead to real Gulf Arab unity?
  • How fast can Gulf countries recover from the COVID-19 economic hit?
  • What is the outlook for political and economic crises in Syria, Lebanon and Iraq?
  • Will Morocco’s growing Gulf links provide economic rescue?
  • Can Tunisia turn around its struggling economy?
  • Will Libyan political talks make any progress?

A discussion between:

Katerina Fytatzi, Senior Analyst, North Africa, Oxford Analytica

Laura James, Senior Analyst, Middle East, Oxford Analytica

David Butter, Associate Fellow, Middle East and North Africa Programme

Chair: Nick Redman, Director of Analysis, Oxford Analytica

Foreign relations in Asia are set for significant change with the arrival of a new US president. Joe Biden is unlikely to escalate the US trade war with China, but equally is unlikely to de-escalate it. The fundamental incompatibility of interests between the two countries will only grow, playing into policies on trade, industry and technology on both sides.

Several countries in South Asia, including India, face a growing debt problem. Rising public debt linked to increased spending last year appears manageable for most of South-east Asia, but many of the region’s states nonetheless face a protracted struggle to spur economic recovery.

Much of the Asia-Pacific is looking to capitalise on the recently signed Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), which now awaits ratification. China, as the largest economy in the pact, will be poised to exert greater leverage in defining trade standards in the region.

By attending this webinar, you will be able to answer these questions:

  • How will US allies and adversaries respond to the new government in Washington?
  • How will Washington engage with Asia?
  • Which of the region’s governments are most unstable? 
  • What is the outlook for the South China Sea dispute?
  • How will the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic affect the region’s key economies?
  • How will RCEP reconfigure regional trade?

 

A discussion between:

Benjamin Charlton, Senior Asia Analyst, Oxford Analytica

Joydeep Sen, Analyst, South Asia, Oxford Analytica

Catharin Dalpino, Former US Deputy Assistant Secretary of State; Professor Emeritus, Georgetown University

Chair: Nick Redman, Director of Analysis, Oxford Analytica

Who should attend?

This deep dive is a closed webinar only for Oxford Analytica clients. It will benefit those who are in foreign and defence ministries, intelligence agencies, as well as senior executives and those involved in government affairs, legal services and finance, public policy.

Webinar format

Sessions are moderated by Dr Nick Redman, Director of Analysis at Oxford Analytica, and feature an analyst from Oxford Analytica, and a specialist from our global expert network.

Background briefings

Each session is supported by a background briefing curated by our team of expert analysts who produce our flagship publication, the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief. These in-depth briefings are circulated to attendees in advance of each call and are available both as the written articles published in the Daily Brief, and as audio recordings.