The World Next Week - Forward-looking Intelligence from Oxford Analytica

The US Presidential Election, 2008

Articles from The World Next Week about the US Presidential election of 2008. See also Oxford Analytica's Daily Brief coverage of US politics.

Barack Obama

What Obama Achieved

Thursday, 6 November

As President-elect Barack Obama savours his thumping election victory this week, he will be conscious of what he has, and has not, achieved in political terms

Senator Palin?

Thursday, 6 November

Sarah Palin will not be the Vice President in 2009… but she may end up being a Senator? Senior Alaskan Senator Ted Stevens currently holds a 4,000-vote lead for re-election, despite his conviction for corruption weeks before the election. Democrats will probably expel him, a special election for the vacant seat would follow, to which Palin could nominate herself -- and win easily.

Electronic Voting Machine

Turnout

Thursday, 30 October

Pollsters must not only determine what people think, but how likely they are to act on their views by casting a vote. As a consequence, it is hard to guess Democratic Senator Barack Obama's lead over Senator John McCain.

Partisan Strength

Super majority?

Thursday, 23 October

With the media focusing on presidential candidates Barack Obama and John McCain, it is easy to forget that there are 35 Senate races talking place too.

Futures prices for Republican Candidates, Mar 2007 - Mar 2008

Political futures' chequered past

Thursday, 9 October

While November’s US presidential race will see an ever-increasing focus on opinion polls, past experience suggests that political futures markets could offer a rather more accurate forecast of the election’s outcome.

Stephen Colbert

Does Satire affect Politics?

Thursday, 9 October

It is a truism that culture plays a major role in US politics. This has been a recurrent Republican theme ever since; Senator John McCain’s selection of Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as his vice-presidential running mate indicates that the ‘culture war’ leitmotif is still considered potent. 

Sarah Palin

Do Vice Presidential debates matter?

Thursday, 2 October

Amid the most serious financial crisis in almost 70 years, millions of US citizens tonight will take the measure of their future leader -- or rather, their potential seconds -- in the only televised vice-presidential debate of this election cycle. 

John McCain

Can McCain keep level?

Thursday, 28 August

The presumptive Republican nominee has beaten expectations again, drawing level with his opponent even as his party faces meltdown -- but the hardest challenges are ahead for him, especially in the debates.

US: Hillary's revenge

Thursday, 21 August

The national party convention season begins next week. The Clintons may highjack Obama's spotlight, with Senator Hillary Clinton seizing the second most prominent speaking slot, and her husband, former President Bill Clinton also a primetime television player.

Presidential Race

Presidential Olympiad

Thursday, 8 August

This week the Beijing Olympics will temporarily eclipse another of the world's most media-saturated events -- the US presidential race. The contest over who can surmount the Olympic obstacle most adroitly may help determine the outcome of the race for the White House.

US presidential election image

Archive

Presidential Olympiad

August. 8 - The contest over who can surmount the Olympic obstacle may help determine the outcome of the race for the White House.

It's better out West.

June. 19 - While most of the United States is locked in the economic and political doldrums, growth west of the Mississippi is relatively resilient.

Fantasy politics?

June. 12 - A baseball fan looks more likely to call the outcome of the election correctly than the pollsters

What's next for Hillary?

June. 5 - With Barack Obama effectively clinching the Democratic nomination for president, what is next for Hillary Clinton?

June. 'Veepstakes'