Global Risks

Major changes since November 13, 2008.

Headline risk

The risk has increased of a new Argentine sovereign debt default, continuing a steady increase in the one-year stress balance over the past year. The trade and fiscal surpluses will come under increasing pressure. While slower growth may reduce the risk of energy shortages, declining growth and revenues will complicate efforts to maintain the primary surplus as spending pressures remain high.

You can see a complete list of Global Stress Points we are monitoring on the guest page of the live service.

You can learn more about the Global Stress Points Matrix™, or request a trial through the service information page.