Global Risks

Major changes since November 7, 2008.

Headline risk

The prospect has increased of an oil price collapse, continuing a steady upward movement in the one-year stress balance since August. Despite government stimuli, crude prices face declines due to persistent low growth over the short term, which decrease demand, pushing prices toward the historical average. Comments by European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet have also raised the prospect of a major interest rate cut in the euro-area. This could push up the value of the dollar and, in turn, place further downward pressure on the oil price.

You can see a complete list of Global Stress Points we are monitoring on the guest page of the live service.

You can learn more about the Global Stress Points Matrix™, or request a trial through the service information page.