Global Risks

Major changes since October 2, 2008.

Headline risk

The risk has increased of deep recession in the United States, continuing a steady upward trajectory in the one-year and five-year stress balance, which has been particularly marked since the start of September. The latest Institute for Supply Management (ISM) index, and factory orders data, confirms that a manufacturing sector recession has begun; the export component of the ISM index still shows growth, but it has slowed sharply. September US jobs data also indicates that the downturn has spread far beyond the housing, construction and finance industries.

You can see a complete list of Global Stress Points we are monitoring on the guest page of the live service.

You can learn more about the Global Stress Points Matrix™, or request a trial through the service information page.