Global Risks

Major changes since April 03, 2008.

Headline risk

The risk has risen of a new Argentine sovereign default. While in 2003-07, robust favourable international conditions drove growth, in a more volatile global context, the Argentine economy inevitably is heading towards a slowdown. The likelihood of a hard landing depends not only on the evolution of the global crisis, but also the government's ability to deal with a complex domestic scenario. Economic policy is affecting investment and inflation prospects, threatening the trade and fiscal surpluses

 

Other rising risks

• SCIENCE/TECHNOLOGY: Increasing climate regulation

 

Other declining risks

• MIDDLE EAST: Civil war in Lebanon

You can see a complete list of Global Stress Points we are monitoring on the guest page of the live service.

You can learn more about the Global Stress Points Matrix™, or request a trial through the service information page.