Global Risks

Major changes since March 20, 2008.

Headline risk

The risk has grown over a 5-year timeframe of armed hostilities between China and Taiwan because of the possibility that Kuomintang (KMT) could fail to live up to expectations following its presidential victory, and a reinvigorated Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) could return to power in 2012 (5-year stress balance up 2.0)

 

Other rising risks

• Military conflict in North Korea
• Disruption to the hydrocarbons sector in Latin America

 

Other declining risks

• State collapse in Pakistan

You can see a complete list of Global Stress Points we are monitoring on the guest page of the live service.

You can learn more about the Global Stress Points Matrix™, or request a trial through the service information page.