Global Stress Point Matrix™

Major changes since January 25, 2008.

Headline risk

The risk has increased of deep recession in the United States. While durable goods orders jumped 5.2% month-on-month in December, as the weak dollar helped prop up overseas demand, the outlook for the consumer economy still appears very weak. Moreover, the increasing precariousness of large bond insurers -- 'monolines' -- points towards rising systemic risk.

Other rising risks

This week none of our other monitored risks have risen.

Declining risks

• Commodity price bust
• Return to protectionism

 

You can see a complete list of Global Stress Points we are monitoring on the guest page of the live service.

You can learn more about the Global Stress Points Matrix™, or request a trial through the service information page.