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The laws of supply and demand govern illegal drugs as well as legally traded commodities. And if the current street price and purity of cocaine are good indicators of its availability, it is in short supply in the United States.
Mexican President Felipe Calderon's large-scale deployment of soldiers and federal police in border areas has reduced the flow of narcotics into the United States. The arrests of the chiefs of the Tijuana and Gulf cartels have also disrupted the ability to operate of major Mexican drug trafficking organisations. There is reward in store for Calderon. John Walters, the White House drug tsar, said the Bush administration was seeking an aid package worth hundreds of millions of dollars to help Mexico fight drugs.
There has never been a disruption to cocaine supply of this magnitude for this long. Yet strategic challenges remain:
Precedent shows that strong cooperation between Mexico and Washington is the best way to keep cocaine supply low. The dismantling of the 'French Connection' heroin racket in the early 1970s demonstrated that international trafficking networks are best disabled by the combined efforts of drug enforcement agencies from multiple countries. Since any aid package would not allow US troops to operate on Mexican soil it will make the drugs war more difficult to coordinate.
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