The US and Asia: Is the 'Pivot' in peril?

The landscape of the Asia-Pacific region is changing. On the ground, this is literal and littoral, as China constructs artificial islands to support its territorial claims on the South China Sea.

At the institutional level, questions are rising about whether US-led frameworks can withstand a challenge from Beijing. US opposition to the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank failed to stop allied states from joining in March. Unhappiness in Washington over the Trans-Pacific Partnership -- and the president’s surprising defeat in the House of Representatives on June 12 -- has thrown into question the ability of the White House to meet its international promises.

Whether the United States completes its ‘rebalance’ to Asia-Pacific will structure the policy choices of the states in the region. As Washington and Beijing compete and collaborate, Tokyo, Manila, Canberra, Seoul, Taipei and others must navigate an evolving web of alliances and partnerships.

Listen to our Client Conference Call on June 30 at 15:00 BST to understand the implications of these developments for the balance of power, both economic and security-related, for the region.

We assessed the implications for:

  • US freedom of action in Asian waters.
  • Chinese domestic responses to perceived US containment.
  • Threats to regional economies from greater US-Chinese rivalry.