Brexit

Britain beyond the referendum


We now have a date - June 23, 2016 - and nearly four months to debate the merits of whether the United Kingdom should stay in the EU or go.

The renegotiated terms for Britain’s membership will likely be pushed quickly to the side by the larger and more emotional issues of migration, sovereignty, national security and the impact on the UK economy and financial sector.

They will also be played out in a parallel struggle for the succession to Prime Minister David Cameron, who has said he will stand down before the next general election due in 2020.

Yet it is the consequences of the outcome that matter most:

  • If the United Kingdom votes to leave, what will be involved in unravelling itself from the EU and how long would that take?
  • What could its future arrangements with the EU look like?
  • Will its global standing in the world be diminished or enhanced?
  • Would a smaller UK- or England-only market still be attractive to foreign investment?
  • What difference will the referendum outcome make to the future of ‘the European project’; will it make a two-tier Europe more or less likely?
  • Will there be similar referendum and special status demands in other EU states?
  • If the UK chooses to stay in the EU, will this settle the debate on EU membership once and for all?
  • How divisive for the UK’s governing Conservatives will the referendum prove, and which rival parties stand to benefit?
  • Will a vote to leave hasten the break-up of the United Kingdom?

Join us to discuss these issues among others with a panel of Oxford Analytica’s expert advisors on UK and European affairs.