Global Stress Points Matrix™ - Tier Two
We maintain the following list of potential stress points as a secondary group, as they do not yet merit inclusion in the Global Stress Points Matrix. We reassess this list on a regular basis. If any of these are of particular concern to your organisation, we can monitor them for you exclusively on a customised basis.
| Potential Stress Point |
Impact on... |
| Global financial markets |
Global GDP/trade |
Business operations |
Geopolitics |
| Global systemic failure of the financial system |
Very High
| Very High
| Very High
| Medium |
| Saudi Arabia: fall of House of Saud |
High
| Medium
| High
| Low |
| Turkey: military coup |
Medium
| Medium
| High
| High |
| Palestinian civil war |
Low
| Low
| High
| Medium |
| Latin American institutional instability |
Low/Medium
| Low/Medium
|
Low/Medium
| Medium |
| Collapse of global commodity prices |
High
| High
| Medium
| Low |
| Collapse of euro |
High
| High
| High
| Medium |
| Health care cost crisis slashes corporate profits |
Medium
| Medium
| Low/Medium
| Low |
| Non-radiological terrorist attack |
Low/Medium
| Low/Medium
| Low/Medium
| Medium |
| India: social revolt |
Medium
| High
| Medium
| Medium |
| India: takeover of state by Hindu nationalists |
Medium
| Medium
| Medium
| Medium |
| Resurgence of serious anti-Chinese sentiment/ethnic tension in SEA |
High
| High
| High
| Medium |
| War/rising tension over access to resources/impact of climate change in South Asia |
Low
| Low
| Low/Medium
| Medium/High |
| Western CIS meltdown (Belarus/Ukraine) |
Low
| Low
| Low
| Medium |
| Reduction of US willingness to be global police |
Medium
| Low/Medium
| Medium
| High |
| Japan: clash with China |
High
| High
| Medium
| High |
| South Korea economic collapse |
Medium
| Medium
| Low/Medium
|
Medium |
| Kazakhstan: exclusion of foreign oil companies |
Medium
| Medium
| Low/Medium
| Medium |
