Sample analysis from the Daily Brief

The following sample feed of our analysis is drawn from The Oxford Analytica Daily Brief.® Full access to the Daily Brief delivers global analysis that gives top corporate and government executives a proven edge in predicting the course of key trends — and preparing for contingencies.

Syriza looks ahead in Greek coalition-forming talks

Coalition of the Radical Left (Syriza) leader Alexis Tsipras has until mid-day Friday to cobble a government together.

US austerity need not undercut strategic primacy

A defence 'austerity crunch' that undercuts US security is unlikely -- even if Obama is re-elected and the Republicans gain control of the Senate and/or retain the House.

Turkey shifts sights eastwards as EU relations stall

Turkey has traditionally prioritised relations with Europe, but euro-area stagnation and the frustration of its EU membership bid are forcing it to refocus eastwards.

Argentina's YPF expropriation risks long-term damage

The move will hinder efforts to boost hydrocarbons output, raising the risk of continuing shortages and new rule changes for other sectors in a bid to raise revenue.

Syrian regime is cohesive, but increasingly vulnerable

The Assad regime is not yet close to collapse but divisions could quickly open if key elements within it believe a negotiated transition would better protect their interests.

Investment set to double Eastern Africa port capacity

Africa's eastern seaboard can be expected to double port capacity over the next 10-20 years.

EU austerity looks ominous for African aid

Budgets look safe for this year, but pressure across Europe to reduce aid points to much less assistance for Africa in future.

Prospects for Africa in the second quarter

High oil prices will remain a major risk this quarter for most African economies, and thus for some governments, too.

Q2 prospects for the global economy

Unencouraging GDP results in the first quarter of 2012 set the stage for a stronger out-turn in Q2. US growth will be helpful and the euro-area could expand modestly on the basis of a trough reached in the first quarter.

Politics and population shape house prices in China

China’s housing market will remain under tight control and prices drop further. Yet a collapse is unlikely because the market is underpinned by demand, and because officials have much of their personal wealth and income bound up with the sector.

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About the Daily Brief

Through daily dissection and analysis of fresh developments in global politics, macroeconomics and the political economy — guided by the latest academic research — the Daily Brief offers qualitative predictions and guidance as to the impact of events ‘just over the horizon’.
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